Watching all of the movies does not help you pick winners! Having your finger on the pulse of Hollywood whims does that and I do not have that. But it feels weird to go through this process and then not have an overall weigh-in on how it will go, could go, or should go. So I'll give it a go-go.
Enjoy the show, if you watch. Avoid Hollywood streets, if you don't!
Best Picture
Academy: Oppenheimer
Autumn: American Fiction, but it's hard to choose
Director
Academy: Christopher Nolan
Autumn: Jonathan Glazer
Actress
Academy: Emma Stone
Autumn: Lily Gladstone
Actor
Academy: Cillian Murphy
Autumn: Cillian Murphy
Supporting Actress
Academy: Da' Vine Joy Randolph
Autumn: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, but it was almost a four way tie
Supporting Actor
Academy: Robert Downey Jr.
Autumn: Sterling K. Brown
Original Screenplay
Academy: May December
Autumn: Past Lives
Adapted Screenplay
Academy: Oppenheimer
Autumn: American Fiction
International Feature
Academy: The Zone of Interest
Autumn: The Zone of Interest
Animated Feature
Academy: The Boy and the Heron
Autumn: Spiderman: Across the Spiderverse
Documentary Feature
Academy: 20 Days in Mariupol
Autumn: To Kill a Tiger
Cinematography
Academy: Hoyte van Hoytema for Oppenheimer
Autumn: Hoyte van Hoytema for Oppenheimer
Editing
Academy: Jennifer Lame for Oppenheimer
Autumn: Thelma Schoonmaker for Killers of the Flower Moon
Costume Design
Academy: Jacqueline West for Killers of the Flower Moon
Autumn: Holly Waddington for Poor Things
Hair and Make Up
Academy: Kazu Hiro, Kay Georgiou and Lori McCoy-Bell for Maestro
Autumn: Nadia Stacey, Mark Coulier and Josh Weston for Poor Things
Sound
Academy: Oppenheimer
Autumn: literally a tie between Oppenheimer and The Zone of Interest
Visual Effects
Academy: The Creator
Autumn: Godzilla Minus One
Production Design
Academy: Shona Heath, Zsuzsa Mihalek, James Price for Poor Things
Autumn: Shona Heath, Zsuzsa Mihalek, James Price for Poor Things
Original Song
Academy: Billie Eilish and Finneas for "What was I Made for?"
Autumn: Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt for "I'm Just Ken"
Original Score
Academy: Ludwig Goransson for Oppenheimer
Autumn: Ludwig Goransson for Oppenheimer
Live Action Short
Academy: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
Autumn: Knight of Fortune
Animated Short
Academy: War is Over! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko
Autumn: Pachyderme
Documentary Short
Academy: The Last Repair Shop
Autumn: The Last Repair Shop
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